Tuesday, December 15, 2015

Best Places for Young Families in Tennessee

Tennessee is a state on the rise. According to the 2015 National Assessment of Educational Progress, public school test scores have improved faster in Tennessee than they have in any other state.

Home prices are rising as well. According to real estate website Zillow.com, median Tennessee home values have increased by 3.8% over the past year to $129,400, and they’re projected to grow 3.4% over the next year — outpacing nationwide projections of 2.6%.

These factors present opportunity and challenge for families looking to settle in the Volunteer State. It’s a state with many good school districts and varied, affordable housing, often in smaller communities outside larger cities such as Nashville and Memphis. Although rising home prices are good for existing homeowners, they’re an obstacle for potential homebuyers.

Affording a home can be particularly difficult for young families, whose budgets are often tighter. We set out to identify Tennessee’s top places for young families that offer a combination of reasonable home prices, well-rated schools and low crime. Keep in mind that not every place at the top of our list hit the highest mark in all categories.

NerdWallet’s analysis

By statistically comparing such factors as home affordability, income growth, education and a crime risk score, NerdWallet identified the best places to start your search for the Tennessee community that’s right for you. Here’s what our analysis of 98 places with a population over 5,000 turned up.

Best places for young families in Tennessee

1. Mount Carmel

Mount Carmel, in the northeast corner of the state, benefits from an affordable median home price of $127,900 and a GreatSchools rating of 8 out of 10. Its crime risk score is “most safe,” the highest possible, and families with kids make up roughly a third of the town’s households. Mount Carmel, which placed third in our previous analysis, is less than 10 miles from Kingsport and the 3,550-acre Bays Mountain Park.

2. Atoka

Grabbing second place for the second year in a row, Atoka received high scores in all of our categories, including a 9 out of 10 for its schools from GreatSchools.org and a crime risk grade of “most safe.” Atoka, which is 25 miles north of Memphis, features family events year-round, good for the 33.5% of households consisting of families with children.

3. Lakeland

Although Lakeland’s $226,800 median home price in 2014 is high for Tennessee, living there comes with sizeable benefits. The city of 13,000 was one of only four communities in our study to receive a perfect 10 from GreatSchools. Lakeland also earned our best risk rating of “most safe,” and its 15-year income growth rate of 69.8% was second-highest in our survey. The northeast Memphis suburb is home to the 235-acre Garner Lake, with its many recreational opportunities.

4. White House

White House’s history as a popular stop for stagecoach travelers is on display at the White House Inn Museum. The town of about 11,000 is 25 miles north of downtown Nashville and its many cultural events as the nation’s country music capital. The 2014 median home price in White House was $168,700; its schools earn a solid rating of 8 out of 10, and its 15-year income growth rate of 42.6% far outpaces the state average. White House rose two spots from its rank in our study last year, likely because this year’s data include the crime risk score, for which the town earned a “safe” grade.

5. Spring Hill

The largest community in our top 10, Spring Hill, 30 miles south of Nashville, has seen its population surge to more than 32,000 from just under 8,000 in the 2000 census. The town is best known as the former location of General Motors’ Saturn manufacturing facility, which has continued as a flexible assembly plant following GM’s shuttering of the brand in 2009. Spring Hill received a 9 out of 10 rating from GreatSchools. The median home price for Spring Hill in 2014 was $198,200, making homes there generally more expensive than elsewhere in the state.

6. Nolensville

Also in the Nashville area, Nolensville counts a whopping 52.5% of its households as families with children. Its schools received the highest crime risk grading of “most safe” and a 10 out of 10 from GreatSchools.org. But living here isn’t cheap compared to the rest of Tennessee: The median home price is $293,500.

7. Paris

The most affordable city on our list to have received a score of 8 or higher from GreatSchools, Paris has a median home price of just $81,200. Over the past 20 years, the city’s infrastructure has been revitalized, including a restoration of 1920s-era architecture to the downtown shopping area. Worth noting: The city received a crime risk score of “least safe,” and nearly a third of families in poverty include young children.

8. Kingston

Kingston, roughly a half-hour west of Knoxville, jumped up from 24th on our list last year, likely because of its increased rating of 9 from GreatSchools, as well as the inclusion of our crime score, for which Kingston received “safe” marks. Housing is relatively affordable, with a median price of $127,400. Kingston is home to a Tennessee Valley Authority coal plant, one of the largest such facilities in the country.

9. Bloomingdale

An unincorporated area just outside of Kingsport, Bloomingdale grabs our 9th spot largely thanks to its affordable median home price of $90,900. Bloomingdale received a crime risk score of “safe” and a GreatSchools score of 8. One point of concern here is economic opportunity — median income in Bloomingdale has grown only 7.5% since 1999, which is well below the 23.3% average growth of communities statewide.

10. Dayton

Located next to several wildlife refuge and outdoor recreation areas, including Armstrong Ferry Recreation Area, Dayton provides a balanced quality of life at below-median home prices. The town is best known as the site of the Scopes trial in 1925, which focused on evolution versus creationism. The community of 7,300 is home to Bryan College, a four-year Christian liberal arts college named after William Jennings Bryan, the prosecutor in the trial.

Rank Place Population GreatSchools rating 2014 median home value Selected monthly owner costs 2014 median family income 1999-2014 Income Growth Residents who are married with children Families in poverty with young children Crime risk rating Final Score
1 Mount Carmel 5,443 8 $127,900 $964 $59,212 35.79% 30.3% 9.40% Most Safe 73.51
2 Atoka 8,727 9 $173,600 $1,419 $83,500 35.46% 33.5% 0.00% Most Safe 67.88
3 Lakeland 12,549 10 $226,800 $1,781 $109,421 69.79% 31.1% 0.00% Most Safe 66.74
4 White House 10,618 8 $168,700 $1,313 $79,468 42.59% 35.5% 0.00% Safe 66.49
5 Spring Hill 31,467 9 $198,200 $1,507 $82,597 31.85% 39.2% 7.10% Most Safe 65.76
6 Nolensville 6,131 10 $293,500 $1,889 $105,589 45.79% 52.5% 7.40% Most Safe 64.90
7 Paris 10,165 8 $81,200 $883 $39,066 21.10% 15.6% 30.70% Least Safe 64.83
8 Kingston 5,888 9 $127,400 $1,169 $57,356 27.52% 8.8% 12.40% Safe 64.66
9 Bloomingdale 9,882 8 $90,900 $858 $38,148 7.45% 19.1% 8.70% Safe 64.58
10 Dayton 7,316 8 $107,700 $928 $43,074 29.94% 14.8% 52.40% Safe 63.54
11 Seymour 10,703 7 $149,000 $1,055 $61,081 35.00% 22.0% 0.00% Most Safe 63.51
12 Fairview 8,020 8 $169,100 $1,341 $66,947 34.39% 27.8% 16.70% Most Safe 62.80
13 Arlington 11,623 7 $222,200 $1,875 $101,028 81.70% 52.7% 0.00% Most Safe 61.68
14 Henderson 6,429 7 $107,000 $961 $48,548 18.68% 19.3% 15.30% Safe 61.40
15 Franklin 66,596 10 $312,400 $1,936 $102,946 48.27% 29.7% 7.20% Most Safe 61.38
16 McKenzie 5,561 7 $88,900 $845 $42,021 22.43% 12.7% 35.40% Less Safe 60.97
17 South Cleveland 5,951 6 $115,600 $940 $52,747 31.92% 22.0% 22.20% Safe 60.35
18 Brentwood 39,059 10 $487,900 $2,626 $149,101 25.88% 42.9% 6.00% Most Safe 60.31
19 Bristol 26,705 7 $103,100 $978 $47,859 28.17% 15.3% 27.90% Less Safe 60.16
20 Martin 11,396 8 $127,800 $1,099 $51,966 34.46% 11.0% 49.80% Safe 60.12
21 Kingsport 52,835 8 $134,000 $1,095 $54,267 35.05% 14.3% 35.90% Less Safe 60.10
22 Greeneville 15,015 7 $124,300 $965 $51,418 42.32% 15.0% 55.20% Less Safe 59.92
23 Lexington 7,771 7 $120,400 $1,118 $56,500 36.38% 19.4% 7.90% Least Safe 59.92
24 Collierville 46,780 9 $273,500 $2,138 $118,985 40.26% 37.4% 3.80% Most Safe 59.28
25 Mount Juliet 27,053 9 $200,000 $1,487 $78,443 24.38% 27.9% 16.50% Most Safe 59.15
26 Jonesborough 5,138 6 $153,000 $1,077 $61,318 38.83% 16.5% 7.60% Most Safe 58.64
27 Milan 7,826 7 $91,700 $894 $37,827 -1.76% 18.8% 0.00% Safe 58.62
28 Millersville 6,481 6 $156,500 $1,250 $65,250 36.31% 21.9% 0.00% Most Safe 58.12
29 Greenbrier 6,550 7 $141,700 $1,246 $60,057 24.44% 23.5% 17.90% Most Safe 58.07
30 Clarksville 140,563 7 $135,500 $1,159 $53,144 28.30% 24.5% 25.10% Safe 57.85
31 Johnson City 64,614 8 $154,500 $1,165 $55,273 34.89% 13.9% 33.00% Less Safe 57.72
32 Loudon 5,606 5 $108,800 $892 $44,918 13.98% 25.7% 65.00% Most Safe 57.61
33 Signal Mountain 8,416 9 $288,800 $1,849 $118,696 36.44% 26.7% 7.70% Most Safe 57.55
34 Dyersburg 16,998 6 $91,800 $1,080 $48,117 38.45% 17.1% 26.70% Least Safe 57.36
35 Fayetteville 6,991 7 $95,400 $1,121 $43,515 33.99% 10.9% 37.20% Least Safe 57.17
36 Lawrenceburg 10,440 7 $84,500 $940 $35,733 8.76% 14.4% 37.50% Least Safe 56.48
37 Gallatin 31,800 7 $161,700 $1,225 $56,164 34.05% 18.8% 22.50% Safe 56.05
38 Smyrna 42,235 7 $149,000 $1,270 $62,964 22.14% 23.6% 14.10% Safe 55.67
39 Bartlett 57,805 8 $172,900 $1,608 $86,583 23.76% 25.6% 4.40% Safe 55.27
40 Church Hill 6,742 5 $127,000 $1,080 $54,750 26.09% 24.5% 7.70% Most Safe 55.20
41 Hendersonville 53,257 8 $197,300 $1,546 $73,258 27.13% 26.1% 17.40% Most Safe 55.06
42 Elizabethton 14,322 6 $110,100 $951 $43,301 29.90% 13.7% 43.20% Less Safe 55.00
43 Portland 11,853 5 $130,600 $1,125 $58,496 43.42% 21.6% 12.50% Safe 54.88
44 Alcoa 8,556 7 $120,400 $960 $47,266 6.62% 14.3% 30.00% Less Safe 53.93
45 Lewisburg 11,252 6 $93,800 $908 $40,900 6.94% 12.5% 36.90% Safe 53.58
46 Maryville 27,824 7 $189,100 $1,367 $67,813 37.88% 24.3% 22.90% Safe 53.46
47 Lenoir City 8,867 7 $116,300 $1,073 $38,068 13.76% 16.6% 50.80% Less Safe 53.09
48 Oak Ridge 29,301 7 $152,000 $1,289 $74,007 29.64% 16.3% 29.50% Less Safe 52.99
49 Morristown 29,152 6 $112,400 $966 $39,260 17.58% 19.9% 48.40% Less Safe 52.89
50 Murfreesboro 114,660 8 $177,200 $1,416 $66,092 25.52% 20.8% 20.40% Safe 52.85
51 Rockwood 5,480 5 $91,300 $864 $39,205 21.61% 15.7% 35.50% Least Safe 52.78
52 Dickson 14,814 7 $133,700 $1,098 $45,830 7.50% 19.6% 21.00% Less Safe 52.38
53 Jefferson City 8,342 5 $109,800 $947 $43,506 28.09% 14.2% 28.90% Less Safe 52.05
54 Tullahoma 18,900 6 $118,700 $1,122 $48,606 22.13% 15.6% 33.90% Safe 52.01
55 Crossville 11,125 7 $133,900 $1,009 $36,810 10.85% 14.3% 30.70% Least Safe 51.81
56 La Vergne 33,637 6 $127,700 $1,175 $55,833 1.10% 28.7% 5.30% Safe 51.80
57 Knoxville 181,759 6 $116,500 $1,077 $47,180 25.12% 10.6% 28.60% Least Safe 51.12
58 Manchester 10,223 6 $112,500 $1,028 $45,474 18.41% 15.7% 58.50% Less Safe 50.82
59 Savannah 7,029 5 $87,000 $871 $34,818 16.95% 11.6% 39.90% Least Safe 50.61
60 Sweetwater 5,856 4 $104,800 $950 $46,397 31.55% 14.4% 10.80% Less Safe 50.35
61 Harrison 7,595 5 $138,700 $1,170 $64,557 16.50% 19.4% 16.90% Most Safe 50.33
62 Millington 11,152 5 $116,800 $1,249 $63,482 42.67% 13.6% 27.50% Less Safe 50.01
63 Middle Valley 13,282 6 $156,200 $1,266 $66,698 15.80% 23.0% 30.40% Safe 49.97
64 Harriman 6,296 5 $85,300 $1,005 $38,448 23.27% 12.8% 60.50% Least Safe 49.41
65 Union City 10,791 5 $94,500 $933 $44,044 8.12% 14.5% 34.10% Least Safe 48.92
66 Athens 13,603 6 $117,800 $965 $41,360 4.54% 16.5% 49.00% Least Safe 48.80
67 Clinton 9,874 6 $135,400 $1,102 $51,353 19.15% 8.8% 34.60% Safe 48.73
68 Germantown 39,207 8 $282,100 $2,151 $126,360 21.82% 27.3% 5.40% Most Safe 48.68
69 Winchester 8,493 4 $107,600 $973 $46,186 12.15% 16.5% 0.00% Safe 47.46
70 Lebanon 27,847 7 $169,800 $1,250 $50,514 12.02% 18.2% 40.50% Safe 47.34
71 Cleveland 42,331 6 $156,500 $1,204 $49,356 22.93% 17.3% 31.10% Least Safe 47.00
72 McMinnville 13,600 5 $92,300 $915 $35,378 7.99% 14.0% 82.70% Less Safe 46.70
73 Oakland 6,944 3 $166,400 $1,327 $74,018 30.35% 26.4% 0.00% Most Safe 46.10
74 Soddy-Daisy 13,109 3 $125,400 $1,114 $54,806 32.40% 20.1% 3.10% Safe 45.56
75 Cookeville 31,004 7 $157,800 $1,166 $41,484 4.70% 10.5% 38.20% Less Safe 45.36
76 Sparta 5,036 6 $100,700 $936 $31,944 -3.38% 9.2% 87.70% Least Safe 45.30
77 Columbia 35,207 5 $116,000 $1,066 $44,799 4.62% 15.3% 27.90% Less Safe 45.19
78 Newport 6,890 5 $87,400 $953 $30,859 15.18% 4.7% 78.00% Least Safe 44.96
79 Collegedale 9,488 4 $192,000 $1,328 $70,474 34.65% 21.6% 0.00% Most Safe 44.58
80 Farragut 21,111 6 $311,400 $1,881 $121,289 32.67% 31.1% 8.50% Most Safe 44.03
81 La Follette 7,304 2 $75,600 $829 $32,394 33.67% 14.2% 71.20% Least Safe 43.18
82 Humboldt 8,363 3 $75,500 $899 $37,265 13.46% 8.1% 28.20% Less Safe 43.06
83 Pigeon Forge 6,004 6 $171,700 $1,454 $46,818 35.68% 13.8% 40.50% Least Safe 42.39
84 Jackson 67,190 4 $118,700 $1,217 $51,073 24.81% 15.8% 36.90% Least Safe 42.21
85 Springfield 16,598 4 $127,900 $1,091 $48,175 14.65% 16.2% 25.80% Less Safe 42.16
86 Bolivar 5,275 3 $85,900 $925 $42,426 20.19% 7.5% 56.30% Less Safe 41.86
87 Shelbyville 20,616 4 $91,500 $1,048 $32,552 -10.73% 18.0% 35.20% Safe 41.30
88 Green Hill 6,667 4 $184,400 $1,335 $74,018 11.12% 20.4% 0.00% Most Safe 40.89
89 Red Bank 11,759 4 $123,500 $1,130 $48,598 16.55% 13.0% 44.10% Less Safe 40.86
90 Chattanooga 171,863 4 $141,300 $1,169 $51,125 23.74% 12.9% 27.80% Least Safe 40.54
91 Covington 9,033 4 $96,100 $981 $34,306 6.50% 6.2% 61.40% Least Safe 39.78
92 Brownsville 10,079 3 $92,200 $989 $35,382 4.74% 10.3% 10.60% Less Safe 39.72
93 Pulaski 7,734 4 $97,700 $1,050 $36,875 -0.92% 10.1% 38.90% Less Safe 39.71
94 Goodlettsville 16,466 6 $181,500 $1,555 $63,843 17.88% 14.1% 9.20% Least Safe 39.02
95 Sevierville 15,592 5 $167,300 $1,207 $40,277 6.07% 14.9% 51.50% Least Safe 36.95
96 Memphis 656,715 3 $95,400 $1,211 $43,539 15.28% 11.0% 35.40% Least Safe 36.92
97 East Ridge 21,220 2 $116,700 $1,040 $50,144 14.33% 14.9% 13.80% Least Safe 36.72
98 Ripley 8,350 4 $84,200 $987 $25,036 -26.76% 8.9% 60.80% Least Safe 36.40

Methodology

We analyzed 98 places in Tennessee with populations of 5,000 or more. Certain places were excluded due to lack of data points or requirements for residency. Our methodology focused on four factors:

Home affordability. Home affordability, 30% of the total score, was calculated by averaging index scores for median home value and median selected monthly owner costs — which includes costs like taxes and mortgages — for the year 2014. The lower the costs, the higher the score. Data came from the American Community Survey, a division of the U.S. Census.

Growth and prosperity. Growth and prosperity are 20% of the total score. The two metrics were growth in family income from 1999 to 2014, and median family income in 2014. Data are from the American Community Survey.

Family friendliness. To measure whether an area is a good place for families, which is 20% of our total score, we looked at the percentage of married couples with at least one child under age 18, the average crime score as provided by NeighborhoodScout, and the percentage of families in poverty with at least one child under age 5.

Educational quality. Using data from GreatSchools.org, every place was given a 1-10 score, with 10 being the highest (read more about the methodology here). Education is 30% of the total score.


Image via iStock.

 

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